Education & Resources
It is generally recommended to plan for a retirement of 30 years or longer, placing a crucial emphasis on choosing the right mix of investments to maximize the sustainability of the portfolio.
For this analysis we introduce the concept of drawdowns and the impact of drawdowns on a hypothetical retirement portfolio when an investor is taking fixed monthly withdrawals. We found that historically, including a managed futures allocation during the distribution phase of the portfolio lifecycle would have added meaningful value to a retired investor by helping limit the depth of drawdowns during periods of market stress.
Hedge funds have seemingly fallen out of favor over the course of the second longest equity bull market in history. A policy of unprecedented quantitative easing (QE) has supported a rising tide environment, ripe for long-only passive (index) investing in traditional asset classes. As performance of hedge funds has lagged equity markets, a steady stream of news articles has sounded the death knell for the industry.
We set out to analyze the empirical data so that we could separate the facts from the sensationalism. The results debunk the myths we tend to hear about hedge funds most often.
This white paper addresses some of the potential benefits, challenges and opportunity costs for investors seeking to time an allocation to managed futures. For a brief overview, watch the video.
The results of our research show that managed futures risk-adjusted performance* is at its lowest point ever, and also finds evidence of historical mean reversion in 12-month Sharpe ratios.
*Based on a -1.99 rolling 12-month Sharpe ratio for the Barclay CTA Index as of June 30, 2017, its lowest point since inception of the index in 1980.
February 2017Managed futures have become an alternative asset class that is widely used by investors seeking overall portfolio diversification and absolute returns independent of the direction of broad equity and bond markets. The most common managed futures trading strategy is trend following, a strategy that attempts to exploit momentum in more than 200 global futures markets (including commodities, equities, fixed income, and currencies) by taking long positions in rising markets and short positions in falling markets.
While investors have embraced the potential benefits of managed futures, the causes of the large performance dispersion among trend following commodity trading advisors (“CTAs” or “managers”) are not well understood given that their trading programs are conceptually similar. The research team at Steben & Company set out to find answers.
Our study shows that style factors including volatility targets, speed and sector exposures explain many of the historical short-term performance differences among trend followers.
Given the increasingly complex world of alternative investment products (alts), we will discuss in this white paper the importance of manager research and due diligence.
Investors of all stripes recognize that choosing the right fund managers may matter a great deal more going forward than in the past, when passively owning a diverse array of assets generally achieved longer-term objectives.
One important decision when considering alternative investments is whether to use single manager or multi-manager funds. In this white paper, we will discuss the relative benefits and drawbacks of each type of fund.